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DTN Midday Grain Comments     12/03 10:56

   Corn, Beans Higher at Midday

   Corn is 1 to 2 cents higher, soybeans are 11 to 13 cents higher, and wheat 
is flat to 7 cents lower.

David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst

   The U.S. stock market is firmer with the Dow up 175. The dollar index is 50 
points lower. Interest rate products are firmer. Energies are firmer with crude 
up $0.30. Livestock trade is weaker. Precious metals are mixed with gold up 


   Corn trade is 1 to 2 cents higher at midday with lightly firmer spread 
action and support from soybeans spilling over. Outside markets are quiet for 
the most part with the dollar making new lows. Ethanol margins continue to 
deteriorate with the rebound in corn, with production falling slightly by 
16,000 barrels per day, while stocks continue to grow as demand declines rising 
by 374,000 barrels. Basis remains generally strong. Weekly export sales 
remained solid at 1.37 million metric tons. On the March contract support is 
the lower Bollinger Band at $4.10 with the 20-day at $4.25 becoming resistance 
which we are just above overnight.


   Soybean trade is 11 to 13 cents higher at midday with trade rebounding off 
the lows scored yesterday with flat spread action as the South American weather 
forecast is little changed short term, and trade looks for fresh export 
business on the break as we close in on a month since the last announced sale. 
Meal is $2.50 to $3.50 higher and oil is 60 to 70 points higher. South America 
has rains moving into much of central and southern Brazil and Argentina short 
term, with dry pockets and high temps still a worry. Basis remains strong as we 
continue to work to max out our logistics capacity to ship the needed export 
bushels with freight issues remaining in play. Weekly export sales were softer 
at 406,900 metric tons, 163,800 of meal, and 2,500 of oil. The January chart 
has resistance at the fresh high at the fresh high at 12.00 scored last week, 
with the upper Bollinger band at $12.16, with support the 20-day at $11.58 
which we are back above at midday with the lower Bollinger Band at 10.92 below 


   Wheat trade is flat to 7 cents lower with choppy trade continuing today with 
little fresh news. The dollar remains at the lower end of the range but hasn't 
shifted export competitiveness yet. World export tenders continue to go to 
Black Sea origin for the most part, with little change in overall conditions 
there going into dormancy. The western Plains look to mostly remain dry short 
term with better moisture to the east. Kansas City is at 35-cent discount to 
Chicago on the March with active trade continuing, with Minneapolis at -28. 
Weekly export sales were off from the surge last week at 446,400 metric tons. 
Kansas City March chart resistance is the 20-day at $5.57 which we failed to 
hold late last week, and support is the lower Bollinger Band at $5.42 which we 
tested before bouncing yesterday.

   David Fiala is a DTN contributing analyst and the President of FuturesOne 
and a registered adviser.
He can be reached at
Follow him on Twitter @davidfiala


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